It all comes down to this: Kansas City Chiefs vs Philadelphia Eagles at State Farm Stadium for Super Bowl LVII.

Entering the playoffs as the two best teams of the NFL regular season with 14-3 records, the postseason has only cemented the Chiefs and Eagles as the top teams in football right now. 

To earn a place in the Sunday, February 12 meet in Arizona at 6:30 ET, the Eagles made the most of the San Francisco 49ers needing to turn to their fourth-string quarterback, running out 31-7 winners.

Coming into the AFC Championship, a banged-up Chiefs faced a familiar foe, the Cincinnati Bengals, but an injured Patrick Mahomes was able to exorcise some demons to secure a thrilling 23-20 triumph.

At the time of writing, there are a couple of weeks until the big game, so the Super Bowl LVII odds may swing per injury updates and team news releases, but right now, the Eagles are favoured at -137. 

Still, there’s value to be had in early sport betting markets, so here, we’re going through the odds, betting picks, and predictions for Chiefs vs Eagles at the Super Bowl. 

Best Super Bowl LVII Odds

  • Money Line: Eagles -137, Chiefs +110

  • Spread: -2.5 Eagles +100, +5.5 Chiefs -227

  • Total Match Points: Under 49.5 -109, Over 49.5 -109

Read on to see our Super Bowl LVII preview, picks, and predictions.

Which Team Will Win Super Bowl LVII?

As it stands, the Philadelphia Eagles are the favourites on the money line at -137, while the Chiefs are narrowly the underdogs with odds of +110.

Some key factors to consider are that the Eagles rank in the top five for offence, defence, and rushing, as well as ninth for passing. The Chiefs are number-one for passing and offence but 12th for defence and 20th for rushing.

Still, there are always the X-factors to keep in mind, and even a one-legged Patrick Mahomes proved to be too much of an X-factor for the Cincinnati Bengals to handle. He notched 326 yards and two touchdowns last time out.

Even if at full mobility for Super Bowl LVII, however, Mahomes will need to keep on his toes against the most sack-happy defence in football right now.

The Eagles added three more sacks to their count of 75 on the season in the NFC Championship game, with the 19.5 sacks from Haason Reddick so far making him perhaps the biggest threat to Mahomes having a solid game.

Chris Jones adds superstar pass-rushing ability to the Chiefs’ defensive line, adding another two sacks to his impressive season haul against a patched-together Bengals O-line.

Even with these two superb playmakers, the Chiefs vs Eagles will have two of the very best offensive lines on show, so the quarterbacks should be getting enough time on most plays to work through their progressions.

Kansas City’s place in the Super Bowl is largely credited to Mahomes and his arm, but he’ll face his toughest defence yet in this one, with the Eagles leading the NFL in fewest passing yards allowed per attempt at a lowly 5.5. 

That said, the Dallas Cowboys – a top-tier passing team in its own right – ripped off 347 yards through the air and a few touchdowns to duel with the Eagles earlier in the playoffs.

A particular area of weakness for the Chiefs’ defence is against the run game.

Ranking as the 15th-worst in yards allowed per carry (4.4) after Jalen Hurts, Miles Sanders, Boston Scott, and Kenneth Gainwell just combined for 150 rushing yards and four touchdowns makes for scary reading for Chiefs fans. 

That said, the Eagles’ run defence ranks lower than that of the Chiefs, which allowed for Christian McCaffrey to try and win it on his own with 84 yards and a touchdown on 15 carries – but Kansas City lacks such elite rushing options.

Chiefs vs Eagles Super Bowl Betting Picks

Some more Mahomes magic looks necessary for the Chiefs coming into Super Bowl LVII, with the Eagles for -2.5 at +100 on the spread looking set to be a popular pick in a potentially close game.

That said, there’s power in this Chiefs defensive line, in the trenches, and at quarterback, as well as buckets of experience this deep into the postseason, so Kansas City at +5.5 on the spread for -227 gets a pick.

Another helpful stat that looks to help govern Super Bowl LVII is red zone success. When defending, the Chiefs rank among the bottom six in the NFL at allowing a touchdown, while the Eagles are a top-three offence in the final 20 yards.

With this in mind, Philadelphia’s top backs, Sanders and Gainwell, are in line for the anytime touchdown markets, as is Hurts to run one in himself. They demolished the best run defence in the league last time out.

The QB’s flair for the ground game has earned him 15 rushing touchdowns already this season, which also reinforces him as a pick to be named Super Bowl MVP at +120. 

Of course, if the Chiefs end up winning the game, it’ll almost certainly be down to Mahomes putting on a masterclass in the passing game, making his MVP odds of +125 enticing.  

The two offensive lines rank among the best in the NFL, with the Eagles narrowly having the edge, but it’d be difficult to argue with either Jones or Reddick adding to their impressive sack counts, so each gets a betting pick.

As the Super Bowl odds start to settle ahead of the big game, the Eagles just look too versatile, dynamic, and strong in every regard not to be considered favourites. 

Still, KC head coach Andy Reid is against his old team, and Mahomes defied the odds against the Bengals to make it here.

*Credit for all images in this article belongs to AP Photo*


FIRST PUBLISHED: 30th January 2023

Ben is very much a sports nerd, being obsessed with statistical deep dives and the numbers behind the results and performances.

Top of the agenda are hockey, soccer, and boxing, but there's always time for the NFL, cricket, Formula One, and a bit of mixed martial arts.